By Paul Kennedy
This publication explores the politics and economics of the nice Powers from 1500 to 1980 and the cause of their decline. It then maintains by way of forecasting the positions of China, Japan, the ecu monetary neighborhood, the Soviet Union, and the us throughout the finish of the 20 th century.
Kennedy argues that the power of an exceptional strength could be safely measured merely relative to different powers, and he offers a simple and persuasively argued thesis: nice energy ascendancy (over the longer term or in particular conflicts) correlates strongly to to be had assets and fiscal toughness; army "over-stretch" and a concomitant relative decline are the constant danger dealing with powers whose pursuits and protection standards are more than their source base promises for.
Throughout the booklet Kennedy reiterates his early assertion: "Military and naval endeavors won't continuously were the raison d'être of the recent realms, however it definitely was once their costliest and urgent activity", and it continues to be so till a power's decline.
The booklet was once commonly bought as a thinly-veiled caution that the us is itself carrying out imperial overstretch, in order that its destiny is the inevitable imperial decline.